The latest News Verian poll for the 2023 New Zealand election reveals a significant shift in political dynamics, with the National Party surging to 39% support, up by two points from the previous August poll. The Labour Party, on the other hand, has seen a drop in support, declining by one point to 28%.
The Green Party and Act Party both saw decreases, with the Greens dropping by two points to 10% and Act dropping by three points to 10% as well. Winston Peters’ New Zealand First party has crossed the 5% threshold needed to enter Parliament, increasing by one point from the previous poll. Te Pāti Māori remains steady at 3%, while The Opportunities Party and New Conservative are level at 1%. The undecided or unresponsive portion of poll respondents has reduced from 12% to 10%.
- National could secure 49 of the 120 seats in the House.
- Together with Act’s 13 seats, the two parties could form a majority government with 61 seats.
- Labour would have 35 seats, the Greens 13 seats, and New Zealand First would have seven seats if it crossed the threshold.
- If Te Pāti Māori wins an electorate seat, it could secure three seats in Parliament.
In terms of preferred prime minister Election:
- Labour leader Chris Hipkins and National leader Christopher Luxon are tied at 23%.
- Act leader David Seymour follows at 5%, down by one point.
- Winston Peters has risen by one point to 4%.
2023 New Zealand Election Poll:
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Winston Peters has expressed confidence that New Zealand First will surpass the 5% threshold. Luxon has not ruled out working with Peters, citing that New Zealand First has not been in Parliament. Hipkins referred to Peters as a “force for chaos,” while Seymour suggested Peters had little to offer New Zealanders. Hipkins also expressed optimism that Labour is on an upward trajectory after two consecutive polls in the 20s.
The 2023 New Zealand election is scheduled to be held on October 17, 2023.
Source: New Zealand Herald